Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head
Detroit Lions 67% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Lions:
- ELO Rating. Lions ELO 1544 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +226)
- Home Field Advantage. Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: DET 59% (−8)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 60% (−7)
Win probability movement
DET home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Titans at Lions
The Titans visit the Lions at Ford Field in Detroit, MI in NFL regular season Week 14 action.
Our model gives the Lions a 67% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Titans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Lions (medium): Lions ELO 1544 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +226)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Lions (high): Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Lions turnover differential (+0) vs Titans (+0)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Lions
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Lions
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Titans
Lions
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Detroit Lions
- Previous game51%DET win probability
- Next game60%MIN win probability
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game51%IND win probability
Other Week 14 games
- 55%NE win probability
- 59%BAL win probability
- 57%CLE win probability
- 51%DEN win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Lions has a 67% win probability, while Titans has a 33% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Ford Field in Detroit, MI.