Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings head-to-head
Minnesota Vikings 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Vikings:
- Home Field Advantage. Vikings are 2-0 at home this season; Lions are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Vikings ELO 1602 vs Lions ELO 1544 (diff: +58)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 54% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: MIN 58% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Lions at Vikings
The Lions visit the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN in NFL regular season Week 15 action.
Our model gives the Vikings a 60% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Lions to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Vikings (medium): Vikings are 2-0 at home this season; Lions are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Vikings (low): Vikings ELO 1602 vs Lions ELO 1544 (diff: +58)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Vikings
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Lions
Vikings
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Minnesota Vikings
- Previous game51%MIN win probability
- Next game67%MIN win probability
Detroit Lions
- Previous game51%DET win probability
- Next game65%DET win probability
Other Week 15 games
- 55%SF win probability
- 52%PHI win probability
- 59%BUF win probability
- 55%WSH win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Vikings has a 60% win probability, while Lions has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.