Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles vs Seattle Seahawks head-to-head
Philadelphia Eagles 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Eagles:
- Home Field Advantage. Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Seahawks are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 49% (−3)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 55% (+3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Seahawks at Eagles
The Seahawks visit the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA in NFL regular season Week 15 action.
Our model gives the Eagles a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Seahawks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Eagles (medium): Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Seahawks are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Seahawks (low): Eagles ELO 1582 vs Seahawks ELO 1661 (diff: -79)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Eagles turnover differential (+0) vs Seahawks (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Seahawks
Eagles
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game55%PHI win probability
Seattle Seahawks
- Previous game60%DEN win probability
- Next game59%SEA win probability
Other Week 15 games
- 55%SF win probability
- 59%BUF win probability
- 55%WSH win probability
- 57%NYG win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Eagles has a 52% win probability, while Seahawks has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.

