Cleveland Browns at New York Giants
Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants head-to-head
New York Giants 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Giants:
- Home Field Advantage. Giants are 3-1 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NYG 52% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: NYG 58% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Browns at Giants
The Browns visit the Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 15 action.
Our model gives the Giants a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Browns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Giants (medium): Giants are 3-1 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Giants ELO 1414 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: -8)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Giants turnover differential (+0) vs Browns (+0)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Giants
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Browns
Giants
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Giants
- Previous game57%NYG win probability
- Next game65%DET win probability
Cleveland Browns
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game59%BAL win probability
Other Week 15 games
- 55%SF win probability
- 52%PHI win probability
- 59%BUF win probability
- 55%WSH win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Giants has a 57% win probability, while Browns has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.