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New York Giants at Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants head-to-head

NFLWeek 16 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Lions logo
Lions
Detroit
0
vs
Giants logo
Giants
New York
0
DET 65%35% NYG
Prediction Confidence:
High

Detroit Lions 65% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Lions:

  • Home Field Advantage. Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Lions ELO 1544 vs Giants ELO 1414 (diff: +131)

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: DET 57% (−8)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: DET 61% (−4)

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VenueFord Field
Detroit, MI

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Giants (away)
Lions (home)
35%
Win probability
65%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Giants at Lions

The Giants visit the Lions at Ford Field in Detroit, MI in NFL regular season Week 16 action.

Our model gives the Lions a 65% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Giants to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Lions (high): Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Lions (medium): Lions ELO 1544 vs Giants ELO 1414 (diff: +131)
  • Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
Lions65%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors DET

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Lions
  • ELO RatingFavors Detroit Lions
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYG
DET
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours NYG|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Home Field Advantage

Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road

Lions

3 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 11:26:40 AM

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Key Players

Giants

Jaxson DartQB
Jake HaenerQB
Jameis WinstonQB
J.J. McCarthyQB
Brandon AllenQB

Lions

Luke AltmyerQB
Joshua DobbsQB
Jared GoffQB
Teddy BridgewaterQB
Tom KennedyWR

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NFL Win Probability

How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Home Field Advantage

How playing at home affects NFL win probability

3 min readRead article
Deep Dive

NFL Weather Impact

How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions

3 min readRead article

More games

Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.

Detroit Lions

New York Giants

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Frequently Asked Questions

Lions has a 65% win probability, while Giants has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Ford Field in Detroit, MI.

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