Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Cardinals:
- Home Field Advantage. Cardinals are 0-1 at home this season; Lions are 0-1 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Lions at Cardinals
The Lions visit the Cardinals at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ in NFL regular season Week 5 action.
Our model gives the Cardinals a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Lions will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Lions (medium): Cardinals ELO 1412 vs Lions ELO 1544 (diff: -132)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Cardinals (medium): Cardinals are 0-1 at home this season; Lions are 0-1 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Cardinals turnover differential (+0) vs Lions (+0)
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Lions
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Arizona Cardinals
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Cardinals
Lions
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Lions
Cardinals
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Cardinals has a 50% win probability, while Lions has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ.