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Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

NFLWeek 4 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Giants logo
Giants
New York
0
vs
Cardinals logo
Cardinals
Arizona
0
NYG 55%45% ARI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Giants 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Giants:

  • Home Field Advantage. Giants are 2-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 1-1 on the road
  • Rest Days. Giants has rest advantage (7 days) over Cardinals (6 days)

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VenueMetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cardinals (away)
Giants (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
7
Players ruled out
9

Game Preview

Cardinals at Giants

The Cardinals visit the Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 4 action.

Our model gives the Giants a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Cardinals will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Giants (medium): Giants are 2-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 1-1 on the road
  • Injuries favors the Cardinals (low): Cardinals healthier: 7 out, 0 doubtful vs Giants 9 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days favors the Giants (low): Giants has rest advantage (7 days) over Cardinals (6 days)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Giants have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Cardinals have 7.
Giants55%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors NYG

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Giants
  • InjuriesFavors Arizona Cardinals
  • Rest DaysFavors New York Giants
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ARI
NYG
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours ARI|Favours NYG

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Giants

Our Model55%

Cardinals

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 4:45:03 PM

Giants

Nikko ReedCB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Bobby Jamison-TravisDT(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Jihad WardLB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Brian BurnsLB(Knee - ACL)
OUT
J.C. DavisOT(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Jaxson DartQB(Knee - Meniscus)
OUT
Devin SingletaryRB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Ar'Darius WashingtonS(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Thomas Fidone IITE(Coach's Decision)
OUT

Cardinals

Will JohnsonCB(Neck)
OUT
Starling Thomas VCB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Cameron RobertsonLB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Josh FryarOT(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Carson BeckQB(Coach's Decision)
OUT
Dadrion Taylor-DemersonS(Back)
OUT
Andrew WingardS(Knee)
QUESTIONABLE
Reggie VirgilWR(Coach's Decision)
OUT

Key Players

Cardinals

Jacoby BrissettQB
Gardner Minshew IIQB
Carson BeckQBOUT
-8.1% win prob impact
Michael WilsonWR
Kendrick BourneWR

Giants

Jake HaenerQB
Brandon AllenQB
Jaxson DartQBOUT
-8.1% win prob impact
J.J. McCarthyQB
Jameis WinstonQB

Frequently Asked Questions

Giants has a 55% win probability, while Cardinals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.

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