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Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

NFLWeek 4 • regular • 2026
completed
Giants logo
Giants
New York
36
vs
Cardinals logo
Cardinals
Arizona
24
NYG 56%45% ARI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Giants 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Giants:

  • Home Field Advantage. Giants are 2-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 1-1 on the road
  • Rest Days. Giants has rest advantage (7 days) over Cardinals (6 days)

Make Your Prediction

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VenueMetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cardinals (away)
Giants (home)
45%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Giants defeated the Cardinals 36-24.

Our model predicted the Giants would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Giants and was a notable factor: Giants are 2-0 at home this season; Cardinals are 1-1 on the road
  • Injuries favored the Cardinals and was a contributing factor: Cardinals healthier: 7 out, 0 doubtful vs Giants 9 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days favored the Giants and was a contributing factor: Giants has rest advantage (7 days) over Cardinals (6 days)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Giants have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Cardinals have 7.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Giants won 36-24

Giants won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Giants at 56%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Giants
  • InjuriesFavors Arizona Cardinals
  • Rest DaysFavors New York Giants
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ARI
NYG
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours ARI|Favours NYG

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Giants

Our Model56%

Cardinals

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Key Players

Cardinals

Carson BeckQB
Gardner Minshew IIQB
Jacoby BrissettQB
Tejhaun PalmerWR
Harrison Wallace IIIWR

Giants

Brandon AllenQB
Jameis WinstonQB
Jake HaenerQB
J.J. McCarthyQB
Jaxson DartQB

Frequently Asked Questions

Giants has a 56% win probability, while Cardinals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.

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