Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns 66% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Browns:
- Injuries. Browns healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Steelers 7 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Browns are 1-0 at home this season; Steelers are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Browns defeated the Steelers 27-24.
Our model predicted the Browns would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Browns and was a major factor: Browns healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Steelers 7 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Browns and was a major factor: Browns are 1-0 at home this season; Steelers are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favored the Steelers and was a contributing factor: Browns ELO 1422 vs Steelers ELO 1517 (diff: -95)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Browns have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Steelers have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Browns won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Cleveland Browns
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cleveland Browns
- ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Browns
Steelers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Browns healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Steelers 7 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Browns are 1-0 at home this season; Steelers are 0-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Browns
Steelers
Key Players
Steelers
Browns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Browns has a 66% win probability, while Steelers has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH.