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Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head

NFLWeek 11 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Eagles logo
Eagles
Philadelphia
0
vs
Steelers logo
Steelers
Pittsburgh
0
PHI 58%42% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
High

Philadelphia Eagles 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Eagles:

  • Home Field Advantage. Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Steelers are 1-2 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Eagles ELO 1582 vs Steelers ELO 1517 (diff: +66)

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 54% (−4)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 55% (−3)

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VenueLincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Steelers (away)
Eagles (home)
42%
Win probability
58%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Steelers at Eagles

The Steelers visit the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA in NFL regular season Week 11 action.

Our model gives the Eagles a 58% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Steelers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Eagles (medium): Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Steelers are 1-2 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Eagles (low): Eagles ELO 1582 vs Steelers ELO 1517 (diff: +66)
  • Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
Eagles58%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors PHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
  • ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PIT
PHI
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours PIT|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

3 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 10:36:19 AM

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Key Players

Steelers

Will HowardQB
Drew AllarQB
Mason RudolphQB
Aaron RodgersQB
Michael Pittman Jr.WR

Eagles

Cole PaytonQB
Jalen HurtsQB
Tanner McKeeQB
Joe MiltonQB
DeVonta SmithWR

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Frequently Asked Questions

Eagles has a 58% win probability, while Steelers has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.

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