Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants
Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants head-to-head
New York Giants 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Giants:
- Home Field Advantage. Giants are 3-1 at home this season; Jaguars are 1-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: NYG 57% (+6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NYG 46% (−5)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Jaguars at Giants
The Jaguars visit the Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 11 action.
Our model gives the Giants a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Jaguars to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Jaguars (medium): Giants ELO 1414 vs Jaguars ELO 1568 (diff: -155)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Giants (medium): Giants are 3-1 at home this season; Jaguars are 1-1 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Giants turnover differential (+0) vs Jaguars (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Jacksonville Jaguars
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Giants
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Jaguars
Giants
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Giants
- Previous game57%NYG win probability
- Next game58%IND win probability
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game65%JAX win probability
Other Week 11 games
- 57%HOU win probability
- 60%DAL win probability
- 62%DET win probability
- 62%KC win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Giants has a 51% win probability, while Jaguars has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.