PlayDecoded
Menu
NFL2026 season

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Sun, Nov 22, 2026

Lions logo
DET
Detroit Lions
Upcoming
Buccaneers logo
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DET 62%38% TB
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Detroit Lions
  • Home Field Advantage — Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Buccaneers are 1-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating — Lions ELO 1544 vs Buccaneers ELO 1442 (diff: +102)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

No recent factors yet.

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.