Week 5
Scheduled
Cowboys
Dallas
60%
Slight Lean
vs
Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
40%
DAL vs TBbreakdown →
NFLNFC • South
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC Conference • South Division
Record
0-4
Division
South
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
at Dallas Cowboys • Fri, Oct 9 12:15 AM
40%
win probability
Model accuracy on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 50% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2026 Season
146514531440
Current Elo
1442
Season Change
-20
Season High
1463
Season Low
1442
Avg Change
-18.6
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+26%
Model Edge Record
0-3
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | Cowboys | A | 40% | 21% | +19%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Packers | H | 41% | 7% | +34%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Sep 27 | Vikings | H | 53% | 30% | +24%★ | LOSS✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Buccaneersupcoming games →
Recent Games
View all Buccaneersrecent games →
Frequently Asked Questions
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers play in the NFC conference, South division.
The Buccaneers play their home games in Tampa Bay.
We analyze Buccaneers games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
4 min readRead article
Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
3 min readRead article
Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
3 min readRead article