Week 6
Scheduled
Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
55%
Slight Lean
vs
Steelers
Pittsburgh
45%
TB vs PITbreakdown →
NFLNFC • South
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC Conference • South Division
Record
1-4
Division
South
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Pittsburgh Steelers • Sun, Oct 18 5:00 PM
55%
win probability
Model accuracy on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 33% (3 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2026 Season
146514531440
Current Elo
1442
Season Change
-20
Season High
1463
Season Low
1442
Avg Change
-18.6
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+19%
Model Edge Record
1-4
Model Edge Win %
20%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | Panthers | A | 45% | 40% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 18 | Steelers | H | 55% | 45% | +10%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 9 | Cowboys | A | 42% | 19% | +23%★ | WIN✗ |
| Oct 4 | Packers | H | 41% | 7% | +34%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Sep 27 | Vikings | H | 53% | 30% | +24%★ | LOSS✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers play in the NFC conference, South division.
The Buccaneers play their home games in Tampa Bay.
We analyze Buccaneers games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
4 min readRead article
Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
3 min readRead article