Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers head-to-head
Baltimore Ravens 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ravens:
- ELO Rating. Ravens ELO 1535 vs Buccaneers ELO 1442 (diff: +93)
- Home Field Advantage. Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Buccaneers are 1-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: BAL 55% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: BAL 55% (−4)
Win probability movement
BAL home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Buccaneers at Ravens
The Buccaneers visit the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD in NFL regular season Week 14 action.
Our model gives the Ravens a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Buccaneers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Ravens (low): Ravens ELO 1535 vs Buccaneers ELO 1442 (diff: +93)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Ravens (medium): Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Buccaneers are 1-1 on the road
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Ravens (0 out) vs Buccaneers (0 out)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Ravens
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Buccaneers
Ravens
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NFL Win Probability
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Baltimore Ravens
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game55%PIT win probability
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Other Week 14 games
- 55%NE win probability
- 57%CLE win probability
- 67%DET win probability
- 51%DEN win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Ravens has a 59% win probability, while Buccaneers has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.