Denver Broncos at New York Jets
Denver Broncos vs New York Jets head-to-head
Denver Broncos 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Broncos:
- ELO Rating. Jets ELO 1403 vs Broncos ELO 1598 (diff: -195)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: DEN 44% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DEN 55% (+4)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Broncos at Jets
The Broncos visit the Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 14 action.
Our model gives the Broncos a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Jets to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Broncos (medium): Jets ELO 1403 vs Broncos ELO 1598 (diff: -195)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Jets (medium): Jets are 1-1 at home this season; Broncos are 1-2 on the road
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Denver Broncos
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Jets
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Broncos
Jets
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Jets
- Previous game52%NYJ win probability
- Next game54%ARI win probability
Denver Broncos
- Previous game60%DEN win probability
- Next game52%DEN win probability
Other Week 14 games
- 55%NE win probability
- 59%BAL win probability
- 57%CLE win probability
- 67%DET win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Jets has a 49% win probability, while Broncos has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.