NFL2026 season
Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Denver Broncos
- ELO Rating — Broncos ELO 1598 vs Raiders ELO 1415 (diff: +183)
- Home Field Advantage — Broncos are 3-0 at home this season; Raiders are 2-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Las Vegas Raiders
No recent factors yet.
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.