Week 5
Scheduled
Falcons
Atlanta
56%
Slight Lean
vs
Ravens
Baltimore
44%
ATL vs BALbreakdown →
NFLNFC • South
Atlanta Falcons
NFC Conference • South Division
Record
2-2
Division
South
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Baltimore Ravens • Mon, Oct 12 12:20 AM
56%
win probability
Model accuracy on Atlanta Falcons: 50% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Atlanta Falcons - 2026 Season
146414381413
Current Elo
1417
Season Change
-43
Season High
1460
Season Low
1417
Avg Change
-28.8
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Atlanta Falcons - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-2%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | Ravens | H | 56% | 60% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Oct 6 | Saints | A | 50% | 49% | +1% | WIN✓ |
| Sep 25 | Packers | A | 24% | - | - | WIN✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Atlanta Falcons play in the NFC conference, South division.
The Falcons play their home games in Atlanta.
We analyze Falcons games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
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