San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco 49ers 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring 49ers:
- ELO Rating. Falcons ELO 1417 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -179)
- Home Field Advantage. Falcons are 0-1 at home this season; 49ers are 1-0 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
49ers at Falcons
The 49ers visit the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA in NFL regular season Week 7 action.
Our model gives the 49ers a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Falcons will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the 49ers (medium): Falcons ELO 1417 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -179)
- Home Field Advantage favors the 49ers (low): Falcons are 0-1 at home this season; 49ers are 1-0 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Falcons turnover differential (+0) vs 49ers (+0)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors San Francisco 49ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Francisco 49ers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
49ers
Falcons
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Falcons has a 43% win probability, while 49ers has a 57% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA.