NFL2026 season
San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
San Francisco 49ers
- ELO Rating — Falcons ELO 1417 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -179)
- Injuries — 49ers less affected by injuries: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Falcons 6 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Falcons players matter more
- Home Field Advantage — Falcons are 0-3 at home this season; 49ers are 2-0 on the road
Washington Commanders
- Injuries — Commanders healthier: 3 out, 1 doubtful vs Eagles 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Commanders are 1-1 at home this season; Eagles are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days — Commanders has rest advantage (13 days) over Eagles (14 days)
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