Week 6
Scheduled
49ers
San Francisco
65%
Strong Lean
vs
Commanders
Washington
35%
SF vs WSHbreakdown →
NFLNFC • West
San Francisco 49ers
NFC Conference • West Division
Record
5-0
Division
West
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Washington Commanders • Tue, Oct 20 12:15 AM
65%
win probability
Model accuracy on San Francisco 49ers: 67% (3 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
San Francisco 49ers - 2026 Season
159815901582
Current Elo
1596
Season Change
+13
Season High
1596
Season Low
1583
Avg Change
+25.0
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
San Francisco 49ers - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-17%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | Falcons | A | 57% | 66% | -9% | Scheduled |
| Oct 20 | Commanders | H | 65% | 78% | -13% | Scheduled |
| Oct 11 | Seahawks | A | 49% | 62% | -13% | WIN✗ |
| Oct 4 | Broncos | H | 52% | 66% | -13% | WIN✓ |
| Sep 27 | Cardinals | H | 50% | 88% | -38% | WIN✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The San Francisco 49ers play in the NFC conference, West division.
The 49ers play their home games in San Francisco.
We analyze 49ers games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
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Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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Deep Dive
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