Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks head-to-head
San Francisco 49ers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring 49ers:
- Home Field Advantage. 49ers are 4-0 at home this season; Seahawks are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SF 49% (−6)
- If the rating edge were neutral: SF 58% (+3)
Win probability movement
SF home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Seahawks at 49ers
The Seahawks visit the 49ers at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA in NFL regular season Week 12 action.
Our model gives the 49ers a 55% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Seahawks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the 49ers (medium): 49ers are 4-0 at home this season; Seahawks are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Seahawks (low): 49ers ELO 1596 vs Seahawks ELO 1661 (diff: -65)
- Rest Days is neutral: Rest day data not available for this matchup
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Francisco 49ers
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Seahawks
49ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
- Previous game60%DEN win probability
- Next game64%SEA win probability
Other Week 12 games
- 54%LAR win probability
- 57%DET win probability
- 50%PHI win probability
- 57%BUF win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
49ers has a 55% win probability, while Seahawks has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.