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NFL2026 season

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Seahawks logo
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
29
vs
49ers logo
SF
San Francisco 49ers
32
SEA 51%49% SF
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

San Francisco 49ers
  • ELO Rating — Falcons ELO 1417 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -179)
  • Injuries — 49ers less affected by injuries: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Falcons 6 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Falcons players matter more
  • Home Field Advantage — Falcons are 0-3 at home this season; 49ers are 2-0 on the road
Seattle Seahawks
  • Injuries — Seahawks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Bears 9 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating — Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Bears ELO 1531 (diff: +130)
  • Home Field Advantage — Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Bears are 2-1 on the road

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