San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Seahawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; 49ers are 1-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Seahawks ELO 1661 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: +65)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
49ers at Seahawks
The 49ers visit the Seahawks at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA in NFL regular season Week 5 action.
Our model gives the Seahawks a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The 49ers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Seahawks (low): Seahawks are 1-0 at home this season; 49ers are 1-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Seahawks (low): Seahawks ELO 1661 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: +65)
- Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Seahawks
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Seahawks
49ers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
49ers
Seahawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Seahawks has a 57% win probability, while 49ers has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA.