Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring 49ers:
- Home Field Advantage. 49ers are 2-0 at home this season; Broncos are 0-1 on the road
- Rest Days. 49ers has rest advantage (7 days) over Broncos (6 days)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 49ers defeated the Broncos 24-14.
Our model predicted the 49ers would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Broncos and was a notable factor: Broncos healthier: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs 49ers 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the 49ers and was a major factor: 49ers are 2-0 at home this season; Broncos are 0-1 on the road
- Rest Days favored the 49ers and was a contributing factor: 49ers has rest advantage (7 days) over Broncos (6 days)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the 49ers have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Broncos have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
49ers won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Denver Broncos
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Francisco 49ers
- Rest DaysFavors San Francisco 49ers
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
49ers
Broncos
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
49ers are 2-0 at home this season; Broncos are 0-1 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
49ers
Broncos
Key Players
Broncos
49ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
49ers has a 52% win probability, while Broncos has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.