NFL2026 season
Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Indianapolis Colts
No recent factors yet.
Washington Commanders
- Home Field Advantage — Commanders are 1-0 at home this season; Colts are 0-1 on the road
- Injuries — Commanders less affected by injuries: 8 out, 0 doubtful vs Colts 8 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Colts players matter more
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