NFL2026 season
Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Green Bay Packers
- Home Field Advantage — Packers are 2-1 at home this season; Panthers are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating — Packers ELO 1529 vs Panthers ELO 1453 (diff: +76)
- Rest Days — Packers has rest advantage (10 days) over Panthers (11 days)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Injuries — Buccaneers healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Falcons 6 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating — Buccaneers ELO 1442 vs Falcons ELO 1417 (diff: +26)
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