Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ravens:
- ELO Rating. Ravens ELO 1535 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +217)
- Home Field Advantage. Ravens are 0-1 at home this season; Titans are 0-1 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Ravens defeated the Titans 24-18.
Our model predicted the Ravens would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- ELO Rating favored the Ravens and was a notable factor: Ravens ELO 1535 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +217)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Ravens and was a notable factor: Ravens are 0-1 at home this season; Titans are 0-1 on the road
- Injuries favored the Titans and was a contributing factor: Titans less affected by injuries: 8 out, 0 doubtful vs Ravens 6 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Ravens players matte...
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Ravens have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Titans have 8.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Ravens won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Ravens
- InjuriesFavors Tennessee Titans
- Rest DaysFavors Tennessee Titans
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Ravens
Titans
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Titans
Ravens
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Ravens has a 60% win probability, while Titans has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.