Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Cowboys:
- Home Field Advantage. Cowboys are 1-0 at home this season; Ravens are 1-0 on the road
- Injuries. Cowboys less affected by injuries: 7 out, 0 doubtful vs Ravens 6 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Ravens players matter more
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Ravens defeated the Cowboys 34-31.
Our model predicted the Cowboys would win with 55% confidence, but the Ravens pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Cowboys and was a notable factor: Cowboys are 1-0 at home this season; Ravens are 1-0 on the road
- Injuries favored the Cowboys and was a contributing factor: Cowboys less affected by injuries: 7 out, 0 doubtful vs Ravens 6 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Ravens players matt...
- ELO Rating favored the Ravens and was a contributing factor: Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Ravens ELO 1535 (diff: -76)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Cowboys have 7 player(s) ruled out, while the Ravens have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Ravens won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Cowboys
- InjuriesFavors Dallas Cowboys
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Cowboys
Ravens
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Cowboys
Ravens
Key Players
Ravens
Cowboys
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Cowboys has a 55% win probability, while Ravens has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Maracanã Stadium in Rio De Janeiro.