NFL2026 season
Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Falcons
No recent factors yet.
Green Bay Packers
- Home Field Advantage — Packers are 2-1 at home this season; Panthers are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating — Packers ELO 1529 vs Panthers ELO 1453 (diff: +76)
- Rest Days — Packers has rest advantage (10 days) over Panthers (11 days)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.