Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers
Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers head-to-head
Carolina Panthers 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Panthers:
- Home Field Advantage. Panthers are 1-1 at home this season; Ravens are 3-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: CAR 54% (+3)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CAR 49% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Ravens at Panthers
The Ravens visit the Panthers at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC in NFL regular season Week 11 action.
Our model gives the Panthers a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Ravens to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Ravens (low): Panthers ELO 1453 vs Ravens ELO 1535 (diff: -82)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Panthers (low): Panthers are 1-1 at home this season; Ravens are 3-1 on the road
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Panthers (0 out) vs Ravens (0 out)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Baltimore Ravens
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Panthers
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Ravens
Panthers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Carolina Panthers
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game51%TB win probability
Baltimore Ravens
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game51%HOU win probability
Other Week 11 games
- 57%HOU win probability
- 60%DAL win probability
- 51%NYG win probability
- 62%DET win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Panthers has a 51% win probability, while Ravens has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC.