Week 6
Scheduled
Jaguars
Jacksonville
61%
Slight Lean
vs
Texans
Houston
39%
JAX vs HOUbreakdown →
NFLAFC • South
Houston Texans
AFC Conference • South Division
Record
1-4
Division
South
Conference
AFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
at Jacksonville Jaguars • Sun, Oct 18 1:30 PM
39%
win probability
Model accuracy on Houston Texans: 33% (3 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Houston Texans - 2026 Season
158015581537
Current Elo
1541
Season Change
-36
Season High
1576
Season Low
1541
Avg Change
-28.0
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Houston Texans - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-4%
Model Edge Record
0-1
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | Giants | H | 60% | 75% | -15% | Scheduled |
| Oct 18 | Jaguars | A | 39% | 43% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Oct 11 | Titans | A | 50% | 88% | -38% | WIN✓ |
| Oct 4 | Cowboys | H | 67% | 63% | +5% | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 27 | Colts | A | 59% | 26% | +33%★ | LOSS✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Texansupcoming games →
Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Houston Texans play in the AFC conference, South division.
The Texans play their home games in Houston.
We analyze Texans games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
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Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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