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Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head

NFLWeek 13 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Steelers logo
Steelers
Pittsburgh
0
vs
Texans logo
Texans
Houston
0
PIT 56%44% HOU
Prediction Confidence:
High

Pittsburgh Steelers 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Steelers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: PIT 51% (−5)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: PIT 57% (+1)

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VenueAcrisure Stadium
Pittsburgh, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Texans (away)
Steelers (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Texans at Steelers

The Texans visit the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA in NFL regular season Week 13 action.

Our model gives the Steelers a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Texans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Steelers (medium): Steelers are 3-0 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Texans (low): Steelers ELO 1517 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: -24)
  • Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
Steelers56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors PIT

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Steelers
  • ELO RatingFavors Houston Texans
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

HOU
PIT
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours HOU|Favours PIT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

3 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 10:36:21 AM

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Key Players

Texans

C.J. StroudQB
Mark GronowskiQB
Graham MertzQB
Davis MillsQB
Jayden HigginsWR

Steelers

Mason RudolphQB
Will HowardQB
Aaron RodgersQB
Drew AllarQB
Brandon JohnsonWR

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Frequently Asked Questions

Steelers has a 56% win probability, while Texans has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.

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