Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams head-to-head
Los Angeles Rams 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rams:
- ELO Rating. Rams ELO 1561 vs Chiefs ELO 1534 (diff: +27)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAR 51% (−1)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAR 53% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Chiefs at Rams
The Chiefs visit the Rams at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA in NFL regular season Week 13 action.
Our model gives the Rams a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Chiefs to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Rams (low): Rams ELO 1561 vs Chiefs ELO 1534 (diff: +27)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Chiefs (low): Rams are 1-3 at home this season; Chiefs are 2-0 on the road
- Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Kansas City Chiefs
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Chiefs
Rams
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Los Angeles Rams
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game58%SF win probability
Kansas City Chiefs
Other Week 13 games
- 52%CLE win probability
- 51%DET win probability
- 54%TB win probability
- 55%CHI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Rams has a 52% win probability, while Chiefs has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA.