PlayDecoded
Menu
NFL2026 season

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, Sep 10, 2026

Rams logo
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
7
vs
49ers logo
SF
San Francisco 49ers
27
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Los Angeles Rams
  • Home Field Advantage — Rams are 1-3 at home this season; Chargers are 0-3 on the road
  • ELO Rating — Rams ELO 1561 vs Chargers ELO 1478 (diff: +83)
San Francisco 49ers
  • ELO Rating — Falcons ELO 1417 vs 49ers ELO 1596 (diff: -179)
  • Injuries — 49ers less affected by injuries: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Falcons 6 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Falcons players matter more
  • Home Field Advantage — Falcons are 0-3 at home this season; 49ers are 2-0 on the road

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.