Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns head-to-head
Cleveland Browns 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Browns:
- Home Field Advantage. Browns are 3-0 at home this season; Bengals are 2-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CLE 48% (−4)
- If the rating edge were neutral: CLE 56% (+4)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bengals at Browns
The Bengals visit the Browns at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH in NFL regular season Week 13 action.
Our model gives the Browns a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Bengals to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Browns (medium): Browns are 3-0 at home this season; Bengals are 2-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Bengals (low): Browns ELO 1422 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -105)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cleveland Browns
- ELO RatingFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Bengals
Browns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Cleveland Browns
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game57%CLE win probability
Cincinnati Bengals
- Previous game56%CIN win probability
- Next game52%CIN win probability
Other Week 13 games
- 52%LAR win probability
- 51%DET win probability
- 54%TB win probability
- 55%CHI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Browns has a 52% win probability, while Bengals has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH.