Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs head-to-head
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CIN 52% (0)
- If the rating edge were neutral: CIN 52% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Chiefs at Bengals
The Chiefs visit the Bengals at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH in NFL regular season Week 14 action.
Our model gives the Bengals a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Chiefs to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Bengals are 1-1 at home this season; Chiefs are 2-0 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Bengals ELO 1527 vs Chiefs ELO 1534 (diff: -7)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Bengals turnover differential (+0) vs Chiefs (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Chiefs
Bengals
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Cincinnati Bengals
- Previous game56%CIN win probability
- Next game52%CAR win probability
Kansas City Chiefs
Other Week 14 games
- 55%NE win probability
- 59%BAL win probability
- 57%CLE win probability
- 67%DET win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Bengals has a 52% win probability, while Chiefs has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH.