Week 5
Scheduled
Cardinals
Arizona
54%
vs
Lions
Detroit
46%
ARI vs DETbreakdown →
NFLNFC • North
Detroit Lions
NFC Conference • North Division
Record
2-2
Division
North
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
1 game
Next Game Prediction
at Arizona Cardinals • Sun, Oct 11 8:25 PM
46%
win probability
Model accuracy on Detroit Lions: 0% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Detroit Lions - 2026 Season
156215521542
Current Elo
1544
Season Change
-16
Season High
1560
Season Low
1544
Avg Change
-6.4
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Detroit Lions - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-24%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 68% | -21% | Scheduled |
| Oct 5 | Panthers | A | 55% | 66% | -12% | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 27 | Jets | H | 46% | 84% | -38% | WIN✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Lionsupcoming games →Recent Games
View all Lionsrecent games →
Frequently Asked Questions
The Detroit Lions play in the NFC conference, North division.
The Lions play their home games in Detroit.
We analyze Lions games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
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Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
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Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
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