Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Lions:
- Home Field Advantage. Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Vikings are 3-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Vikings at Lions
The Vikings visit the Lions at Ford Field in Detroit, MI in NFL regular season Week 8 action.
Our model gives the Lions a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Vikings will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Lions (low): Lions are 2-0 at home this season; Vikings are 3-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Vikings (low): Lions ELO 1544 vs Vikings ELO 1602 (diff: -58)
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Lions
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Vikings
Lions
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Lions has a 52% win probability, while Vikings has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Ford Field in Detroit, MI.