Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings 64% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Vikings:
- ELO Rating. Vikings ELO 1602 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: +171)
- Home Field Advantage. Vikings are 2-0 at home this season; Colts are 1-1 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Colts at Vikings
The Colts visit the Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN in NFL regular season Week 7 action.
Our model gives the Vikings a 64% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Colts will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Vikings (medium): Vikings ELO 1602 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: +171)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Vikings (medium): Vikings are 2-0 at home this season; Colts are 1-1 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Vikings
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Colts
Vikings
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Vikings has a 64% win probability, while Colts has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.