NFL2026 season
Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Minnesota Vikings
- Injuries — Vikings healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Lions 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating — Lions ELO 1544 vs Vikings ELO 1602 (diff: -58)
New Orleans Saints
- Injuries — Saints healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Steelers 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Saints are 0-3 at home this season; Steelers are 1-2 on the road
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