New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts vs New York Giants head-to-head
Indianapolis Colts 58% to win. The biggest signal favoring Colts:
- Home Field Advantage. Colts are 1-2 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: IND 53% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: IND 57% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Giants at Colts
The Giants visit the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN in NFL regular season Week 12 action.
Our model gives the Colts a 58% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Giants to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Colts (medium): Colts are 1-2 at home this season; Giants are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Colts ELO 1431 vs Giants ELO 1414 (diff: +17)
- Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Indianapolis Colts
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Giants
Colts
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Indianapolis Colts
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game61%PHI win probability
New York Giants
Other Week 12 games
- 54%LAR win probability
- 57%DET win probability
- 50%PHI win probability
- 57%BUF win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Colts has a 58% win probability, while Giants has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN.