Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles
Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles head-to-head
Philadelphia Eagles 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Eagles:
- ELO Rating. Eagles ELO 1582 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: +152)
- Home Field Advantage. Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Colts are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 55% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 58% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Colts at Eagles
The Colts visit the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA in NFL regular season Week 14 action.
Our model gives the Eagles a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Colts to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Eagles (medium): Eagles ELO 1582 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: +152)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Eagles (medium): Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Colts are 1-2 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Colts
Eagles
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game52%PHI win probability
Indianapolis Colts
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game51%IND win probability
Other Week 14 games
- 55%NE win probability
- 59%BAL win probability
- 57%CLE win probability
- 67%DET win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Eagles has a 61% win probability, while Colts has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.