Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head
Indianapolis Colts 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Colts:
- ELO Rating. Titans ELO 1318 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: -112)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: IND 47% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: IND 52% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Colts at Titans
The Colts visit the Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN in NFL regular season Week 15 action.
Our model gives the Colts a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Titans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Colts (low): Titans ELO 1318 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: -112)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Titans (low): Titans are 0-3 at home this season; Colts are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form is neutral: Insufficient games for recent form analysis
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Indianapolis Colts
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Tennessee Titans
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Colts
Titans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game59%LV win probability
Indianapolis Colts
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game50%CIN win probability
Other Week 15 games
- 55%SF win probability
- 52%PHI win probability
- 59%BUF win probability
- 55%WSH win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Titans has a 49% win probability, while Colts has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN.