Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts head-to-head
Cincinnati Bengals 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Bengals:
- ELO Rating. Colts ELO 1431 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -96)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: CIN 47% (−3)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CIN 52% (+2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bengals at Colts
The Bengals visit the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN in NFL regular season Week 16 action.
Our model gives the Bengals a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Colts to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Bengals (low): Colts ELO 1431 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -96)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Colts (low): Colts are 1-2 at home this season; Bengals are 2-1 on the road
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Colts (0 out) vs Bengals (0 out)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Indianapolis Colts
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Bengals
Colts
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
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More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Indianapolis Colts
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game59%CLE win probability
Cincinnati Bengals
- Previous game56%CIN win probability
- Next game53%CIN win probability
Other Week 16 games
- 55%PHI win probability
- 55%CHI win probability
- 54%DEN win probability
- 59%SEA win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Colts has a 50% win probability, while Bengals has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN.