Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns vs Indianapolis Colts head-to-head
Cleveland Browns 59% to win. The biggest signal favoring Browns:
- Home Field Advantage. Browns are 3-0 at home this season; Colts are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CLE 52% (−7)
- If the rating edge were neutral: CLE 59% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Colts at Browns
The Colts visit the Browns at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Browns a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Colts to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Browns (high): Browns are 3-0 at home this season; Colts are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Browns ELO 1422 vs Colts ELO 1431 (diff: -9)
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Browns (0 out) vs Colts (0 out)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cleveland Browns
- ELO RatingNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Browns are 3-0 at home this season; Colts are 1-2 on the road
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Colts
Browns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Cleveland Browns
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game59%CIN win probability
Indianapolis Colts
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game51%JAX win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Browns has a 59% win probability, while Colts has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH.