Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers head-to-head
Los Angeles Rams 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rams:
- ELO Rating. Buccaneers ELO 1442 vs Rams ELO 1561 (diff: -119)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: LAR 48% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: LAR 53% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Rams at Buccaneers
The Rams visit the Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Rams a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Buccaneers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Rams (low): Buccaneers ELO 1442 vs Rams ELO 1561 (diff: -119)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Buccaneers are 0-4 at home this season; Rams are 1-1 on the road
- Recent Form is neutral: Insufficient games for recent form analysis
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Los Angeles Rams
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Rams
No player data available
Buccaneers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Rams
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game50%LAR win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 53%CIN win probability
- 52%KC win probability
- 58%NE win probability
- 64%JAX win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Buccaneers has a 48% win probability, while Rams has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL.