Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals head-to-head
Cincinnati Bengals 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Bengals:
- Home Field Advantage. Bengals are 1-1 at home this season; Ravens are 3-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CIN 52% (−1)
- If the rating edge were neutral: CIN 53% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Ravens at Bengals
The Ravens visit the Bengals at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH in NFL regular season Week 17 action.
Our model gives the Bengals a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Ravens to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Bengals (low): Bengals are 1-1 at home this season; Ravens are 3-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Bengals ELO 1527 vs Ravens ELO 1535 (diff: -9)
- Recent Form is neutral: Insufficient games for recent form analysis
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Ravens
Bengals
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Cincinnati Bengals
- Previous game56%CIN win probability
- Next game59%CIN win probability
Baltimore Ravens
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game56%BAL win probability
Other Week 17 games
- 52%KC win probability
- 52%LAR win probability
- 58%NE win probability
- 64%JAX win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Bengals has a 53% win probability, while Ravens has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH.