Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns head-to-head
Cincinnati Bengals 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Bengals:
- ELO Rating. Bengals ELO 1527 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: +105)
- Home Field Advantage. Bengals are 1-1 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: CIN 55% (−4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CIN 56% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Browns at Bengals
The Browns visit the Bengals at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH in NFL regular season Week 18 action.
Our model gives the Bengals a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Browns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Bengals (low): Bengals ELO 1527 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: +105)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Bengals (medium): Bengals are 1-1 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form is neutral: Insufficient games for recent form analysis
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Browns
Bengals
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
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Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Cincinnati Bengals
- Previous game56%CIN win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Cleveland Browns
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Other Week 18 games
- 53%NO win probability
- 55%CAR win probability
- 57%SF win probability
- 60%KC win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Bengals has a 59% win probability, while Browns has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH.