Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head
Baltimore Ravens 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Ravens:
- Home Field Advantage. Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Steelers are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: BAL 53% (−3)
- If the rating edge were neutral: BAL 55% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Steelers at Ravens
The Steelers visit the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD in NFL regular season Week 18 action.
Our model gives the Ravens a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Steelers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Ravens (medium): Ravens are 1-1 at home this season; Steelers are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Ravens ELO 1535 vs Steelers ELO 1517 (diff: +19)
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Ravens
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.
Key Players
Steelers
Ravens
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Baltimore Ravens
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Previous game67%TB win probability
- Next game
Next game not scheduled yet
Other Week 18 games
- 53%NO win probability
- 55%CAR win probability
- 57%SF win probability
- 60%KC win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Ravens has a 56% win probability, while Steelers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.