Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles
Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles head-to-head
Philadelphia Eagles 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Eagles:
- ELO Rating. Eagles ELO 1582 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: +42)
- Home Field Advantage. Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 53% (−2)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 53% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Texans at Eagles
The Texans visit the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA in NFL regular season Week 16 action.
Our model gives the Eagles a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Texans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Eagles (low): Eagles ELO 1582 vs Texans ELO 1541 (diff: +42)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Eagles (low): Eagles are 1-2 at home this season; Texans are 2-1 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Eagles
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Texans
Eagles
Learn About Our Analysis
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NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia Eagles
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game59%SF win probability
Houston Texans
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game55%GB win probability
Other Week 16 games
- 55%CHI win probability
- 54%DEN win probability
- 59%SEA win probability
- 51%ATL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Eagles has a 55% win probability, while Texans has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.