NFL2026 season
Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Falcons
No recent factors yet.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Injuries — Buccaneers healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Falcons 6 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating — Buccaneers ELO 1442 vs Falcons ELO 1417 (diff: +26)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.

